Namaste aur Tazakhabhar.com par aapka swagat hai! Duniya ki rajneeti mein ek baar phir bada bhuchaal aa gaya hai, aur iske kendra mein hain Russia ke Rashtrapati Vladimir Putin aur Brazil ke Rashtrapati Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Ek aisi khabar aayi hai jisne Washington se lekar New Delhi tak, sabhi power corridors mein हलचल मचा di hai. Khabar yeh hai ki Putin aur Lula ke beech ek behad ahem phone par baat hui hai. Yeh sirf do deshon ke netaon ke beech ek aam batchit nahi thi, balki iske peeche chhipe hain Ukraine yuddh ko lekar ek naye ‘Peace Plan’ ke sanket aur BRICS sangathan ke bhavishya ko lekar ek badi ran-neeti. Aaiye, Tazakhabhar.com ke is exclusive analysis mein gehraai se samajhte hain ki is Putin-Lula ki phone par baat ka asli matlab kya hai aur iska Bharat par kya asar pad sakta hai.
बातचीत का असली एजेंडा: यूक्रेन शांति या BRICS की शक्ति?
Jab do itne bade neta aapas mein baat karte hain, toh har shabd ka wazan hota hai. Kremlin aur Brazilian Rashtrapati bhavan, dono taraf se jaari bayano ke mutabik, is batchit ke do mukhya stambh the. Pehla, Ukraine mein chal raha विनाशकारी yuddh aur usmein shanti sthapit karne ki koshish. Aur doosra, BRICS (Brazil, Russia, india, China, South Africa) samooh ko aur mazboot karna. Lekin asli sawaal yeh hai ki in dono muddo ka aapas mein kya connection hai? Kya Lula, Putin ke saath milkar pashchimi deshon (Western countries) ke dab-da-be ko challenge karne ki zameen taiyaar kar rahe hain? Is Putin-Lula ki phone par baat ne kai naye sawaalon ko janam de diya hai, jinke jawaab aane waale samay mein global politics ki disha tay karenge.
Pehle Ukraine ki baat karte hain. Lula da Silva jab se dobara satta mein aaye hain, tab se woh Ukraine mamle par ek “neutral” yaani tatasth ravaiya apnaye hue hain. Unka manna hai ki is yuddh ko sirf hathiyaar bhejkar nahi jeeta ja sakta. Unhone ek “Peace Club” banane ka sujhav diya tha, jismein Bharat, Indonesia, aur Brazil jaise desh shaamil hon jo na toh Russia ke paksh mein hain aur na hi poori tarah se America ke. Putin ke saath unki yeh batchit usi “Peace Plan” ka agla kadam ho sakti hai. Ho sakta hai ki Lula, Putin se yeh samajhne ki koshish kar rahe hon ki Russia shanti ke liye kin sharton par raazi ho sakta hai, taaki woh ek majboot prastaav duniya ke saamne rakh sakein. Yeh kadam America aur Europe ko bilkul pasand nahi aayega, jo Russia ko alag-thalg karne ki har mumkin koshish kar rahe hain.
Lula ka ‘Peace Plan’: Kya Yeh Kamyab Hoga?
Ab sabse bada sawaal yeh uthta hai ki kya Lula ka ‘Peace Plan’ kaamyaab ho sakta hai? Iske पक्ष aur विपक्ष mein kai tark diye ja sakte hain. Paksh mein yeh hai ki duniya ke kai desh, khaaskar ‘Global South’ ke desh, is yuddh se thak chuke hain. Unpar mehengai, energy crisis aur food shortage ka bojh badhta jaa raha hai. Aise desh ek aisa neta chahte hain jo America aur Russia ke beech samjhauta kara sake. Lula ki छवि ek aise hi neta ki hai. Unke pichle karyakaal mein bhi Brazil ne عالمی manch par ek ahem bhoomika nibhayi thi. Unki koshish hai ki Brazil ko phir se usi league mein shaamil kiya jaaye.
Lekin iske vipaksh mein tark zyada mazboot hain. Sabse pehli chunauti hai pashchimi deshon ka virodh. America aur uske sahyogi desh yeh maante hain ki Putin se tab tak koi baat nahi ho sakti jab tak woh Ukraine se apni sena nahi hata lete. Unki nazar mein Lula ka plan Russia ko ek tarah se “legitimacy” yaani vaidhata dena hai. Doosri chunauti khud Ukraine hai. President Zelenskyy saaf kar chuke hain ki woh apni zameen ka ek inch bhi nahi chhodenge. Aise mein, koi bhi ‘Peace Plan’ jismein zameen ke badle shanti ka sauda ho, usey Ukraine kabhi nahi maanega. Isliye, bhale hi Putin-Lula ki phone par baat ek shuruat ho, lekin shanti ki manzil abhi bhi bahut door nazar aati hai. Humne Tazakhabhar.com par pehle bhi is vishay par vistar se charcha ki thi ki kaise alag-alag deshon ke peace plans ek doosre se takra rahe hain.
BRICS Ka Future: De-Dollarization Aur Nayi World Order Ki Taraf Ishara
Is phone call ka doosra aur shayad zyada ahem pehlu hai BRICS. Yeh sangathan ab dheere-dheere ek aarthik gut se badhkar ek raajneetik gut (political bloc) banta jaa raha hai. Putin aur Lula ke beech is baat par khaas charcha hui ki kaise BRICS ko aur mazboot banaya jaaye. Iska sabse bada agenda hai ‘De-Dollarization’ yaani vishv vyapar se American dollar ki badshahat ko kam karna. Russia par lage pashchimi pratibandhon ke baad, yeh mudda aur bhi ahem ho gaya hai. Putin aur China ke Xi Jinping iske sabse bade samarthak hain.
Lula ne bhi haal hi mein China daure par is mudde ko zor-shor se uthaya tha. Unka kehna tha ki BRICS deshon ko aapas mein vyapar karne ke liye dollar ki zaroorat kyu hai? Hum apni currency mein vyapar kyu nahi kar sakte? Unhone ek ‘Common BRICS Currency’ ka bhi idea diya hai. Yeh ek bahut bada aur krantikari vichaar hai. Agar aisa hota hai toh yeh American dollar ke liye seedhi chunauti hogi aur global financial system poori tarah se badal jaayega. Is Putin-Lula ki phone par baat ne is vichaar ko aur hawa de di hai. Aane wale BRICS summit, jo South Africa mein hone wala hai, usmein is par koi bada ailaan ho sakta hai. Isse BRICS mein nishchit roop se khalbalee machegi aur ek nayi shakti ka uday hoga.
Bharat Ke Liye Iske Kya Mayne Hain? Ek Nazuk Santulan
Ab aate hain us sawaal par jo har Bhartiya ke mann mein hai: is sab ka Bharat par kya asar hoga? Yeh Bharat ke liye ek bahut hi nazuk sthiti hai. Ek taraf, Bharat BRICS ka ek sansthapak sadasya hai aur Russia hamara ek paramparik aur samay par parikshit sahyogi (time-tested ally) hai. Hum Russia se saste daam par tel aur hathiyaar khareed rahe hain. De-dollarization se Bharat ko bhi fayda ho sakta hai. Isliye, BRICS ki mazbooti Bharat ke hit mein hai.
Lekin doosri taraf, Bharat ke America aur pashchimi deshon ke saath bhi rishte tezi se behtar ho rahe hain. QUAD jaisa sangathan, jismein America, Japan, Australia aur Bharat hain, China ke prabhav ko kam karne ke liye banaya gaya hai. Aise mein, agar Lula aur Putin milkar BRICS ko ek anti-West (pashchim-virodhi) platform bana dete hain, toh Bharat ke liye santulan banana mushkil ho jaayega. Bharat na toh pashchim ko naraz karna chahta hai aur na hi apne purane dost Russia ka saath chhodna chahta hai. Lula ki yeh atirikt sakriyata (hyper-activism) Bharat par dabav bana sakti hai ki woh apna stand aur saaf kare. Isiliye, jaisa ki Tazakhabhar.com aapko hamesha batata hai, Bharat ko apni ‘Strategic Autonomy’ yaani ran-neetik svayattata ki neeti par aur bhi mazbooti se chalna hoga.
Geopolitical Chessboard Par Nayi Chaal: Global South Ka Uday
Yeh poora ghatnakram ek bade geopolitical chessboard par ek nayi chaal ki tarah hai. Ek taraf G7 deshon ka group hai, jise ameer deshon ka club mana jaata hai. Doosri taraf BRICS hai, jo ubharti hui अर्थव्यवस्थाओं (emerging economies) ka pratinidhitv karta hai. Lula ki koshish BRICS ko ‘Global South’ yaani vikas-sheel deshon ki awaaz banana hai. Unki Putin se baat yeh sandesh deti hai ki Global South ab pashchimi deshon ke banaye niyamon par nahi chalega. Woh apne hiton ke anusaar apni videsh neeti tay karenge.
Ismein Brazil ki apni mahatvakanksha bhi shamil hai. Lula Brazil ko Latin America ka leader aur duniya mein ek power broker ke roop mein sthapit karna chahte hain. Putin se baat karke woh yeh dikha rahe hain ki unki pahunch har us neta tak hai, jise pashchim ne alag-thalg kar rakha hai. Yeh unki negotiating power ko badhata hai. Woh America se bhi baat kar sakte hain aur Russia se bhi. Yeh ek aisi sthiti hai jismein Brazil khud ko ek ‘bridge’ ya pul ke roop mein pesh kar sakta hai, jo do virodhi dhruvon ko jod sake. Yeh exclusive analysis aap sirf Tazakhabhar.com par padh rahe hain, jahan hum khabron ke har pehlu ko aapke saamne laate hain.
Aage Kya Hoga? BRICS Summit Par Sabki Nazar
Toh aage kya hoga? Is Putin-Lula ki phone par baat ke baad, ab sabki nigahein South Africa mein hone wale BRICS summit par tik gayi hain. Kya Putin wahan jayenge? Agar woh jaate hain, toh International Criminal Court (ICC) ke arrest warrant ka kya hoga? Kya BRICS ek common currency ki disha mein koi thos kadam uthayega? Kya Lula apne ‘Peace Plan’ ka koi draft pesh karenge? Yeh sabhi sawaal agle kuch mahino mein global politics ki hawa ka rukh tay karenge.
Ek baat saaf hai: duniya ab ek-dhruviya (unipolar) nahi rahi, jahan sirf America ka hukum chalta tha. Yeh ab ek bahu-dhruviya (multipolar) duniya ban chuki hai, jahan Bharat, Brazil, China jaise desh apne liye ek badi bhoomika dekh rahe hain. Putin aur Lula ke beech hui yeh batchit usi badalti hui duniya ka ek jeeta-jaagta saboot hai. Isne pashchimi deshon ko yeh sandesh de diya hai ki unke alawa bhi duniya mein shakti ke naye kendra ubhar rahe hain. Global politics ka yeh khel ab aur bhi rochak ho gaya hai. Aane wale har update ke liye, jude rahiye Tazakhabhar.com ke saath.
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